Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.020699 0.022354 0.024079 0.026011 0.028118 0.030347 0.032884
2025-10-19 0.017984 0.020360 0.022968 0.026049 0.029597 0.033562 0.038342
2025-10-26 0.016149 0.018932 0.022107 0.026010 0.030694 0.036155 0.043035
2025-11-02 0.014796 0.017841 0.021426 0.025976 0.031626 0.038449 0.047365
2025-11-09 0.013518 0.016689 0.020522 0.025521 0.031913 0.039864 0.050591
2025-11-16 0.012452 0.015695 0.019704 0.025063 0.032091 0.041073 0.053538
2025-11-23 0.011701 0.015029 0.019232 0.024975 0.032691 0.042797 0.057203
2025-11-30 0.011001 0.014374 0.018716 0.024772 0.033086 0.044230 0.060510
2025-12-07 0.010408 0.013817 0.018285 0.024635 0.033534 0.045720 0.063943
2025-12-14 0.009852 0.013273 0.017831 0.024425 0.033844 0.047006 0.067127
2025-12-21 0.009442 0.012903 0.017587 0.024480 0.034512 0.048807 0.071135
2025-12-28 0.009012 0.012477 0.017239 0.024357 0.034899 0.050201 0.074594
2026-01-04 0.008660 0.012160 0.017048 0.024481 0.035698 0.052313 0.079390
2026-01-11 0.008306 0.011824 0.016813 0.024529 0.036389 0.054305 0.084151
2026-01-18 0.007957 0.011475 0.016538 0.024494 0.036941 0.056103 0.088704
2026-01-25 0.007637 0.011151 0.016279 0.024463 0.037484 0.057902 0.093356
2026-02-01 0.007238 0.010687 0.015786 0.024038 0.037371 0.058632 0.096253
2026-02-08 0.006867 0.010249 0.015310 0.023609 0.037220 0.059277 0.099024
2026-02-15 0.006607 0.009969 0.015062 0.023527 0.037623 0.060848 0.103486
2026-02-22 0.006340 0.009663 0.014758 0.023337 0.037829 0.062085 0.107423
2026-03-01 0.006103 0.009396 0.014502 0.023208 0.038126 0.063486 0.111731
2026-03-08 0.005867 0.009118 0.014215 0.023012 0.038291 0.064655 0.115675
2026-03-15 0.005697 0.008940 0.014081 0.023064 0.038884 0.066603 0.121198